Monsoon 2022 Pakistan Season

The Monsoon 2022 Pakistan Season is one of the most important times of the year for farmers in Pakistan as it’s when they can bring in a good harvest. However, this Monsoon 2022 Pakistan Season has been very unpredictable, with heavy rains and flooding occurring in some parts of the country earlier than expected. In this article, we’ll take a look at how the forecast for the Monsoon 2022 Pakistan Season is shaping up, and what farmers should expect.

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Key features of Monsoon 2022

  • – No El-NinoNegative IOD mainly in second half.-
  • Early onset over mainland India: around 25th May (+/- 3 days)
  • – Cover whole Pakistan b/w June 20- July 05
  • – June, July to score well across the country.
  • – Aug, Sep looks good for Eastern & some of the Western belt.
  • – 4 months Sub-Division wise forecast (in forecast map)
  • – I expect 100-120% of the Long Period Average (Normal to Slight Above Normal).

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Basis of Forecast:

ENSO 3.4 to continue with Weak La-Nina state during first half of season with 60% chance of returning back to Neutral conditions in later half of the season.

IOD is Neutral & likely to continue this way during first half of monsoon with 70% chances of Negative IOD event to develop by late July or in August.

Enhanced rainfall during monsoon will largely depend on how MJO makes its journey across the globe this season. Initial indications are that it could make a strong comeback over Indian Ocean around/after mid June, which will likely bring monsoon dynamics across the country.

. Apart from ENSO and IOD there are many short/medium duration factors and systems too which determines the monsoon.
In my forecast, I have used various dynamical weather models along with rainfall pattern of few years in past, that are best co-related/matched with prevailing ocean/atmospheric conditions, so we can say, it’s a combination of both;

Breakup of Monsoon 2022 forecast (Phase 1 & 2) & Outlook over the Next 4 months :

During June/July, Above normal Rainfall is likely over Northeastern/East-Central & Southern parts of country including #Karachi; Normal to SA above Normal over West-Central & Below normal over North/Northwest parts of the country.

(First phase likely to be 110-130% of the LPA)

During August/September, #Monsoon will get slightly active in parts of North/Northwest Pakistan; hence Near normal Rainfall over  Northern, Northwestern & some parts of Central Pakistan. Normal to slight Above normal in North-Eastern & Below Normal over Southern/Southwestern parts.



(Second half is Likely to be in 70-90% of the LPA)

Yasar

Key Parameters Used For Monsoon 2022 Forecast  :

Monsoon has its own dynamics but ENSO, IOD and MJO & Movement of Jetstream have a critical role towards the performance of monsoon season. Amongst all, IOD is a standout factor & I usually took it as a prime measure to evaluate monsoon performance for Pakistan. So if IOD stays Neutral throughout the monsoon season, than there is a likelihood of Normal to Above Normal rains in second half of season also. Need to closely monitor how IOD evolves in coming months.

What is the Monsoon?

The Monsoon is a seasonal rain event that happens in the summer months in many parts of the world. It is a series of heavy rains that fall over a period of about three to four weeks. The rains cause flooding, mudslides, and landslides.

In Pakistan, the Monsoon typically begins in late May or early June and lasts until early September. The rains cause severe flooding in many parts of the country, particularly in the low-lying areas. This flooding can cause major damage to infrastructure and homes.

In 2013, the monsoon caused more than $1 billion in damage in Pakistan alone. This figure is expected to rise as the population grows and the country’s infrastructure continues to age. The Monsoon is one of the main reasons why Pakistan is one of the most disaster-prone countries in the world.

What Causes Monsoon Flooding?

There are a few factors that cause monsoon flooding. The main reasons are heavy rainfall and high winds. Heavy rainfall causes rivers and streams to overflow their banks, while high winds push water downstream.

Another factor of Monsoon 2022 Pakistan Season that contributes to monsoon flooding is the way the land is shaped. Monsoon flooding often occurs in areas with low hills and mountains. These areas are easily flooded because water can flow freely in all directions.

All of these factors combined can lead to devastating monsoon flooding in parts of Pakistan. If you live in an area that is vulnerable to monsoon flooding, it is important to be prepared for the floods. You should have a plan for evacuation if necessary, and make sure you have enough food and water stockpiled.

Pakistan: The Country in Focus

Pakistan is a country located in South Asia. It is bordered by India to the south and west, Iran to the east, and Afghanistan to the north. The country has a total area of 319,047 square kilometers (123,232 square miles).

Pakistan is home to a variety of cultures and religions. The largest ethnic group in Pakistan is the Punjabi people. Other major groups include the Sindhi people, the Baloch people, and the Muhajir people. Pakistan also has a number of minority religious groups, including Christians, Hindus, and Muslims.

Pakistan has a rich history dating back to pre-historic times. The Indus Valley Civilization is one of Pakistan’s earliest and most important archaeological sites. This civilization was famous for its beautiful pottery and other artifacts.

Pakistan has been a key player in regional politics for many years. It has been involved in several conflicts, including the wars between India and Pakistan over Kashmir, the war between India and Bangladesh over what is now Bangladesh, and the War on Terror.

Despite these challenges, Pakistan remains an important country in South Asia. Its culture, religion, and diversity make it an interesting destination for tourists. And its strategic location makes

Monsoon 2022: India’s Worst Flooding in a Decade

India is gearing up for the monsoon season, which typically brings heavy rain and floods. The monsoon season runs from June to September, and this year’s monsoon is expected to be the worst in a decade.

So far, India has seen more than 100 million people affected by the floods, and the death toll has risen to over 1,000 people. The damage caused by the floods has been estimated at $30 billion.

The cause of the floods is largely due to heavy rainfall in key areas of India. In particular, parts of north-eastern India have received more than 650 mm of rainfall in just three days. This has resulted in rivers overflowing their banks and flooding villages and towns.

The Indian government is doing everything it can to help those affected by the floods. So far, it has provided food, shelter, and medical assistance to millions of people. It has also set up shelters and Distribution Centres to provide meals to those who are homeless.

Despite the severity of this year’s monsoon season, it is still possible for travelers to visit India during this time. However, it is important to be aware of the risks that accompany travel during this time period

India: The Nation on the Brink

India is on the brink of a monsoon season that could be one of the worst in recent memory. The country has been dealing with political unrest and more than a thousand deaths from heavy rains and flooding.

Parts of India have been hit particularly hard by the monsoon, with the state of Kerala recording more than 100 deaths from floods in just three days. The rain has also caused widespread damage to infrastructure, including power lines, roads, and bridges.

The monsoon is expected to bring heavy rains to most parts of India through September and October. This could lead to devastating floods, which have already killed more than 1,000 people this year. If conditions continue to deteriorate, the death toll could rise significantly.

The Indian government is attempting to deal with the crisis by deploying troops and emergency workers to affected areas. They are also working to provide food, water, and shelter to those affected by the floods. However, this may not be enough to prevent further casualties or damage.

Bangladesh: The Worst-Hit Country

1. India has been the worst-hit country in the monsoon so far, with over 1,700 deaths and more than 10 million people affected.

2. The rains have also caused extensive damage to infrastructure, including roads and railways.

3. In Bangladesh, the situation is even worse. More than 3,000 people have died and more than 6 million people are affected. This is the worst monsoon season in Bangladesh since records began in 1910.

4. The rain has also caused major flooding in many areas of the country. This has destroyed homes, businesses, and crops.

5. The government has responded to the crisis by setting up relief camps and providing food, water, and medical support to those affected. It has also deployed soldiers and police to help with the relief effort.

Conclusion

The monsoon season in Pakistan is typically a time of great change. The weather becomes humid and warm, the trees burst into life with new leaves and vibrant colors, and the sounds of the river flowing can be heard everywhere. This year is no different, as we are seeing some signs that indicate the monsoon season may be more active than usual. While it is too early to say for sure, there are some indications that this could be the case, which means that businesses throughout Pakistan should prepare for an influx in customers during this time. In addition to preparing your store or site for shoppers, make sure you’re prepare with all of the supplies you’ll need to stay open during an active monsoon season like this one – from cleaning supplies to food items. Let us know if you have any questions about what preparations you need to make!

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